‘like a beaten favourite’: meaning and origin

The Australian-English phrase like a beaten favourite is used to denote physical ugliness.
—Synonym: like a twisted sandshoe.
—Cf. also
like a robber’s dog.

I have, however, found a British-English occurrence of the phrase like a beaten favourite used in a different sense in the following from Liverpool are just champion, by Hugh McIlvanney, reporting from Anfield, Liverpool Football Club’s home ground, published in The Observer (London, England) of Sunday 16th May 1982:

Liverpool, who were placed twelfth in the First Division last Christmas and labouring like a beaten favourite, came through comfortably yesterday to take their fifth Championship in seven seasons.

The earliest occurrences of the Australian-English phrase like a beaten favourite that I have found are as follows, in chronological order:

1-: From the review of Four Lady Bowlers in a Golden Holden, a revue by the Australian author John McKellar (1930-2010)—review by Leo Schofield, published in The Sydney Morning Herald (Sydney, New South Wales, Australia) of Saturday 27th November 1982:

When he captures the real Australia in expressions like “She’s got a head like a beaten favourite,” McKellar is at his timeless best.

2-: From Mongrel B*st*rds, by a pseudonymous Dr Sir Leslie Colin Patterson, “cultural attaché to the Court of St James’s from 1975 to 1998”, published in The Spectator (London, England) of Saturday 1st April 2000:

Naturally I was pretty nervous before I hit Old London Town the first time, wondering how I was going to spend the arduous years as cultural attaché to the Court of St James’s with the back of my hand-stitched, powder-blue, Crimplene safari suit permanently pressed to the wall. At Heathrow aerodrome I had my first taste of English hospitality, standing at the end of a long queue of Aussies and Kiwis whose uncles had more than likely stopped a bullet in defence of the Pommy Empire, while all those tea towels and bush-bunnies flashed past in the fast lane through immigration.
There was a waiting limo laid on for me by my old friend the Australian taxpayer and there I met my driver Terry, a typical whingeing Pom with a face like a beaten favourite.

3-: From tv previews, by Henry Everingham, published in The Sydney Morning Herald (Sydney, New South Wales, Australia) of Monday 12th March 2001:

Something in the Air
ABC, 7.30 pm
If you don’t give two hoots, have a head like a beaten favourite, know how to put a rocket up ’em, or simply pine for A Country Practice, Emu Springs may be just the place for you tonight.
Wayne Taylor has just finished a two-year lagging for nicking a car, but he isn’t exactly being made to feel welcome back in this rural backwater. Why the deluded sod would ever return to somewhere so dull is beyond anyone’s comprehension.

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